A SmartStake alternative that puts an interval around the return
EV, arbitrage, middles, promos and a tracker in one plan, at $99/mo — read 2026-08-17, source.
What SmartStake does not tell you
No interval on the EV it reports and no correction for slicing a record.
SmartStake lists $99/mo. The cheapest monthly plan is $1,188 a year you clear before any profit is yours — 50 winning bets a month at a $100 stake and a two percent edge, every month, to reach zero (read 2026-08-17, source).
Side by side
| SmartStake, as published | Bookbreaker, as computed | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $99/mo — read 2026-08-17, source | Free — 8.2 MB, no account |
| What it advertises | EV, arbitrage, middles, promos and a tracker in one plan — read 2026-08-17, source | 27 venues catalogued across 50 states |
| The gap we recorded | No interval on the EV it reports and no correction for slicing a record — read 2026-08-17, source | An interval on the return, corrected for how many slices were tried |
Every cell in the middle column carries the date it was read and a link to where. Some gaps are something we looked for and did not find; others are something the tool states plainly about how it works. Neither is a claim about what it could do, only about what it published on that date. The right column is computed by running this engine when the page was built.
What a record actually supports
-7.0% to +18.9%around a headline 5.91%
3.37%of a 4% edge, once the chance of the fill is priced in
0.39%how far four defensible methods disagree about one price
Slicing a record by sport, market and book produces dozens of returns, and the best of them is high partly because it was the best of dozens. Without an interval and a correction for how many slices were tried, a tracker reports luck as skill.
Why every tool in this list has the same blind spot → · Bookbreaker is free →
Prices change. This one carries the date it was read.