Expected value calculator
Is this bet +EV?
Offered +120 on a side whose fair probability is 57.34%:
| Expected value per unit | +26.15% |
| Break-even win rate | 45.45% |
| Worst method's answer | +25.64% |
The last row is the one that decides. An edge that exists under one devig method and vanishes under another is a modelling artefact, not an opportunity.
Where the number comes from
Everything above was computed by the same engine that prices bets, at the moment this page was built — not typed into a template. The build fails if a figure appears here and not in the engine's own output.